Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 3 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 2.1% on 3 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Oct 2024. $46.65K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 9:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 3 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2024 | 2.1% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil Alexandre de Moraes is arrested (including house arrest) between August 31 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Moraes and information from Moraes legal representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazilian-judge-alexandre-de-moraes-arrested-in-sept
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Connect99 | Yes | 66.67 |
| Feminine-Special | Yes | 4 |
| Sandy-Journalist | Yes | 4 |
| Pertinent-Pay | Yes | 2.35 |
| spasxe | Yes | 2 |
| Low-Proctor | Yes | 1.25 |
