Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 26 Oct 2025, the highest close was 56.5% on 25 Oct 2025 and the lowest 21.5% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 56.5% on 25 Oct 2025. $4.84K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 26 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 26 Oct 2025 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 2.55K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 875 |
| SunlineTicker | Yes | 653.58 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 272 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2025 If EC Bahia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bra-sao-bah-2025-10-25
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 187 |
| Neon Vector BE29 | Yes | 86.96 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 64 |
| siryessir | Yes | 30.58 |
| Lunar Beacon AA7B | Yes | 30 |
| Allllllllllllliffffff | Yes | 26 |
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