Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 27 Oct 2025, the highest close was 60% on 20 Oct 2025 and the lowest 41.5% on 15 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 55.5% on 18 Oct 2025. $11.15K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2025 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TraderByTheBay | Yes | 3.16K |
| Abdikariim45 | Yes | 1.1K |
| AndrianoLamo | Yes | 340.78 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 319 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 26, 2025 If SE Palmeiras wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bra-pal-cru-2025-10-26
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 205 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 168 |
| Pahzek | Yes | 115.29 |
| Marcus2911 | Yes | 105.85 |
| Raul555 | Yes | 100 |
| rezber3 | Yes | 90 |
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