
Resolved No on 26 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 57.5% on 9 Feb 2026 and the low 2.2% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 2.2% on 26 Feb 2026. $104.05K traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 27, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 26 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 26 Feb 2026 | 2.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| c4c4 | Yes | 11.41K |
| Mognar | Yes | 4.44K |
| Dustybeermat | Yes | 2.2K |
| rox119 | Yes | 1.3K |
| IKun11 | Yes | 1.03K |
| roon49 | Yes | 1K |
| ArbitrageFund | Yes | 670 |
| Lunar Raven 21B1 | Yes | 544 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 400 |
| padmavyuv | Yes | 293.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 25, 2026 If Red Bull Bragantino wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bra-bra-cap-2026-02-25
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