Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 25% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 14 Sep 2025, the highest close was 26.5% on 27 Aug 2025 and the lowest 13% on 31 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 13% on 31 Jul 2025. $182.34K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 15, 8:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 14 Sep 2025, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 25.0% |
| 14 Sep 2025 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 77.09K |
| yolololo | Yes | 50K |
| BoxerFan1 | Yes | 40.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on predicting the method of victory for the boxing bout between Canelo Álvarez and Terence Crawford.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/boxing-canelo-vs-crawford-winning-method
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 5.07K |
| odog1984 | Yes | 3.97K |
| Mindless-Kettledrum | Yes | 3.33K |
| Jade Falcon 2704 | Yes | 2.42K |
| Keen-Plain | Yes | 1.58K |
| mybad | Yes | 1.52K |
| DrPufferfish | Yes | 1.23K |
