Analytics
Resolved Up on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 85.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 19 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 85.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the low 50% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 85.5% on 20 Oct 2026. $779.13 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 3:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 85.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| beoli | Down | 100 |
| stear | Down | 22.7 |
| Ayushks8 | Down | 20 |
| moon-k58-lad | Down | 12 |
| TENETENET | Down | 10 |
| bjprolo | Down | 10 |
| a5533 | Down | 9.08 |
| Accurate-Rocket | Down | 5.52 |
| peshkata | Down | 5 |
| triklozoid | Down | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bnb-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026
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