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Paper trading
Resolved No on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.9%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 17.5% on 4 Mar 2026 and the low 2.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 2.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 11:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 6 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 17.5% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 3.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| 0xleo888 | Yes | 100 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 75 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 62.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Block Street's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Block Street (https://x.com/BlockSt_HQ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/block-street-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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