
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 5 Aug 2026 and the low 23.5% on 30 Jul 2026. $15.79K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 3:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 30 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 23.5% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.84K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Yes | 1.65K |
| GordinhoDoAlfa | Yes | 375 |
| GC-P | Yes | 282.74 |
| 4567xfcgvhlj | Yes | 249.58 |
| cbh76255 | Yes | 100 |
| Muneer | Yes | 100 |
| SnakeBall | Yes | 75 |
| 60H | Yes | 60 |
| baseinv3 | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, August 9, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-stp-fur-2026-08-09
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