Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 30 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 30 Mar 2026 and the lowest 27% on 7 Apr 2026. $10.79K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 4:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2026 | 51.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dustybeermat | Yes | 4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 788.54 |
| Bacon99 | Yes | 374.58 |
| Misty Voyager 8F43 | Yes | 139.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between SC Preußen Münster and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-mun-fur-2026-04-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| aSCF0898 | Yes | 69.59 |
| Cannae | Yes | 58.65 |
| lagoness | Yes | 53.5 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Yes | 51.81 |
| dinerofeliz | Yes | 50.62 |
| moritzpike | Yes | 48.89 |
