Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 12 Mar 2026 and the low 32% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 34% on 16 Mar 2026.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 5:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JhonAlexanderHinestroza | Yes | 14.29K |
| ogeyrrrat | Yes | 1.24K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 354.19 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 276.19 |
| CKKK | Yes | 225.27 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 122.46 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 78.72 |
| mixon7 | Yes | 63.9 |
| Kungfumaso | Yes | 45.63 |
| MEV-PM | Yes | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between SC Preußen Münster and 1. FC Magdeburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-mun-fcm-2026-03-22
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