Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 32.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 22 Feb 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 12 Feb 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 21 Feb 2026. $51.6K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026, chart shows 25%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 47.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 3.89K |
| Cannae | No | 3.14K |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 612.67 |
| er7udfijk549r0weuifds | No | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 22, 2026 If 1. FC Kaiserslautern wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-mun-fck-2026-02-22
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 235.29 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 167.43 |
| aurel1702 | No | 92.38 |
| kiddddddd | No | 24.39 |
| MICKYMOUSE5 | No | 16.67 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 15.03 |
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