Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68%. Yes opened at 48% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 48% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 29% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 32% on 2 Mar 2026.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 5:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NorthBalticMan9 | Yes | 3.37K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 2.82K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 791.92 |
| lizhh | Yes | 333.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026 between SC Preußen Münster and Hertha BSC.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-mun-ber-2026-03-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| w2b0bad8 | Yes | 113 |
| jakckiehejian | Yes | 82.61 |
| ValerieAnd19856 | Yes | 29 |
| DT9 | Yes | 19.99 |
| blvcksimba | Yes | 15.38 |
| Triz88 | Yes | 15.15 |
