Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 36% on 6 Mar 2026.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 5:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.13K |
| Cannae | Yes | 1.7K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 1.15K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 776.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026 between Karlsruher SC and SG Dynamo Dresden.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-ksc-dyn-2026-03-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| yeck | Yes | 470.54 |
| qinlaoban | Yes | 241.24 |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 240.92 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 229 |
| Atkh1169 | Yes | 133.98 |
| Golden Voyager AD65 | Yes | 133.05 |
