
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 12%. Yes opened at 48% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 12% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 14% on 2 Mar 2026.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 4:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JhonAlexanderHinestroza | No | 5.72K |
| Punisher2022 | No | 2.37K |
| Cannae | No | 2.05K |
| Lilybaeum | No | 943.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026 between Hannover 96 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-h96-fur-2026-03-08
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