Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50% on 16 Feb 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 24 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 21% on 22 Feb 2026. $39.83K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 20.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Eugm | Yes | 5K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.55K |
| Cannae | Yes | 252.7 |
| dasdasdadas | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, February 28, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and FC Schalke 04.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fur-s04-2026-02-28
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 39 |
| Clawbotazleeruiz9 | Yes | 38 |
| Edible-Encounter | Yes | 26.32 |
| blvcksimba | Yes | 23.33 |
| 50pl | Yes | 15 |
| Jaded-Bandolier | Yes | 12.67 |
