
Resolved Yes on 13 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48.5% on 2 Mar 2026 and the low 19.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 34% on 7 Mar 2026. $36.78K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 9:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 48.5% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| amused85 | No | 2K |
| Cannae | No | 658.43 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 631.98 |
| Lilybaeum | No | 592.93 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 388.7 |
| milomidas | No | 143.36 |
| azsky | No | 126.58 |
| Lavincey | No | 119.48 |
| figaro | No | 40 |
| antec | No | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, March 13, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and SV 07 Elversberg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fur-elv-2026-03-13
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