Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 2 Mar 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 31% on 8 Mar 2026.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 7:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 388.7 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 269.87 |
| Both-Bondsman | Yes | 113.64 |
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, March 13, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and SV 07 Elversberg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fur-elv-2026-03-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dsosods | Yes | 85.7 |
| Melodic-Larder | Yes | 66.67 |
| Traumatic-Nasal | Yes | 62.5 |
| cursed14421 | Yes | 50 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 42.58 |
| sorar | Yes | 36.86 |
