
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 49% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 12 Jan 2026 and the low 36% on 24 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 38% on 18 Jan 2026. $7.55K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 12 Jan 2026 – 24 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 49.0% |
| 24 Jan 2026 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 981.48 |
| jakckiehejian | Yes | 261 |
| adose | Yes | 206.93 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 202.47 |
| nzone | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| BlindHippo | Yes | 100 |
| LeviBoo | Yes | 82.04 |
| Zeljko05 | Yes | 75 |
| Zukko111 | Yes | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, January 24, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fur-bra-2026-01-24
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