Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 28.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 8 Feb 2026 and the low 25.5% on 16 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 32% on 14 Feb 2026. $59.18K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 8 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 47.5% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.84K |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 1.52K |
| Cannae | No | 1.42K |
| Cobalt Pulse 2142 | No | 218.47 |
| rox119 | No | 100 |
| CorellianCoder | No | 100 |
| 8753888 | No | 92.96 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 86.6 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | No | 70.42 |
| hugo420 | No | 43.64 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, February 20, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and DSC Arminia Bielefeld.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fur-bie-2026-02-20
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