Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 30 Nov 2025 and the low 24.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 26% on 7 Dec 2025. $16.04K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 30 Nov 2025 – 12 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 12 Dec 2025 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kwaang | Yes | 1.53K |
| Quintessential-Yawl | Yes | 591.34 |
| Guaggonia | Yes | 542 |
| BlindOrangutan | Yes | 328.82 |
| Vicious-Miscommunication | Yes | 252.26 |
| Rapid Vector 9788 | Yes | 226.69 |
| anonanono | Yes | 190 |
| nzone | Yes | 78.31 |
| Superb-Mastoid | Yes | 75 |
| Determined-Hedgehog | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, December 12, 2025 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Hertha BSC.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fur-ber-2025-12-12
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