
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57%. Yes opened at 44% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 17 Jan 2026, the highest close was 44% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 16 Jan 2026. $25.24K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 17 Jan 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 44.0% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, January 17, 2026 between 1. FC Nürnberg and SV 07 Elversberg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fcn-elv-2026-01-17
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