Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 12 Jan 2026 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 25 Jan 2026 and the lowest 22% on 24 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 78 points up, to 100% on 25 Jan 2026. $23.51K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 12 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 916.86 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 484.36 |
| Cannae | No | 442.76 |
| MartyMcFox | No | 140.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, January 24, 2026 between 1. FC Magdeburg and SG Dynamo Dresden.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fcm-dyn-2026-01-24
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| chiquito22 | No | 134.63 |
| acyl | No | 109.76 |
| maikekeli | No | 108.11 |
| ihorzaiets | No | 100 |
| axiol | No | 80.69 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 20 |
