Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 48% on 2 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 2 Feb 2026 to 14 Feb 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 2 Feb 2026 and the lowest 18% on 13 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 22% on 8 Feb 2026. $22.2K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 2 Feb 2026 – 14 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 6.94K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.7K |
| Zeljko05 | Yes | 548.79 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 493.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026 between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fck-fur-2026-02-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 140 |
| FULLcash | Yes | 100 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 100 |
| Archer20240411 | Yes | 100 |
| jakckiehejian | Yes | 100 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 50 |
