Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 8 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 8 Dec 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 8 Dec 2025 and the lowest 25% on 15 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 26.5% on 14 Dec 2025. $12.7K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 4:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 8 Dec 2025 – 20 Dec 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gullible-Supermarket | Yes | 5K |
| Kbr | Yes | 700 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 555.4 |
| RobXK | Yes | 263.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, December 20, 2025 between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and 1. FC Magdeburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fck-fcm-2025-12-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Kahlenberg | Yes | 255.33 |
| giosss | Yes | 218.28 |
| nzone | Yes | 216 |
| flipppp | Yes | 148.8 |
| Frightened-Sisterinlaw | Yes | 40 |
| Dannyzz | Yes | 34 |
