Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65.5%. Yes opened at 34% on 23 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2026 to 3 Apr 2026, the highest close was 36% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 34% on 23 Mar 2026. $6.75K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 4:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 23 Mar 2026 – 3 Apr 2026, chart shows 30%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 34.0% |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 235.72 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 211.16 |
| ksjkhsfhuahd108313 | Yes | 160.75 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 100.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between 1. FC Kaiserslautern and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-fck-dus-2026-04-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Whimsical-Parade | Yes | 35 |
| human.bean | Yes | 22.91 |
| LoganPrinter | Yes | 21.14 |
| ComeBackItsReal | Yes | 15.38 |
| alreadydeadhorse | Yes | 10 |
