Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45.5%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 47% on 24 Apr 2026 and the low 33.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 34.5% on 25 Apr 2026. $24.99K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 3:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 3 May 2026, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 42.5% |
| 3 May 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pashmex | No | 2.5K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | No | 1.11K |
| Constant-Cycle | No | 501 |
| RN1 | No | 213.51 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 210.55 |
| 3Snakes3 | No | 54.82 |
| triklozoid | No | 49.99 |
| Egghed | No | 29.98 |
| 0xSPBB | No | 29.76 |
| PT-S2 | No | 29.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-elv-scp-2026-05-03
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