Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 22 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 22 Feb 2026 to 6 Mar 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 46% on 26 Feb 2026.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 10:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 22 Feb 2026 – 6 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 5.81K |
| Punisher2022 | No | 2.07K |
| Lilybaeum | No | 1.9K |
| er7udfijk549r0weuifds | No | 622.97 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 621 |
| gjfdk8ef4gty6 | No | 200.75 |
| lizhh | No | 200 |
| eYE718p | No | 157 |
| 7NXgr8T | No | 138 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | No | 113.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, March 6, 2026 between SV 07 Elversberg and 1. FC Magdeburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-elv-fcm-2026-03-06
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