Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48% on 2 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 2 Feb 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 48% on 2 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Feb 2026. $7.06K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 2 Feb 2026 – 15 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 479.02 |
| Kretsche | Yes | 330 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 198 |
| duftvorhang | Yes | 94.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026 between SG Dynamo Dresden and SV 07 Elversberg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-dyn-elv-2026-02-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| diablo13 | Yes | 63.62 |
| Cannae | Yes | 38.02 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 25.89 |
| Windy-Marsh | Yes | 19.95 |
| Enchanting-Harmony | Yes | 19.61 |
