Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 12 Dec 2025 and the low 43% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 44% on 15 Dec 2025. $113.56K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 23, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 21 Dec 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 48.0% |
| 21 Dec 2025 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yes | 30K |
| ghostt4 | Yes | 19.66K |
| GaGa1992 | Yes | 4.78K |
| BlindOrangutan | Yes | 4.6K |
| blueyeti | Yes | 1.25K |
| ape1 | Yes | 978.57 |
| Royal Pulse 533C | Yes | 940 |
| Juju49 | Yes | 629.67 |
| Affectionate-Tongue | Yes | 526.32 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 521.84 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for December 21, 2025 If FC Schalke 04 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-bra-s04-2025-12-21
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