Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74%. Yes opened at 27% on 4 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2026 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $5.12K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 4 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | 27.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 26.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ElInesperado | Yes | 407.69 |
| Cannae | Yes | 295.97 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 226.89 |
| TonyChao | Yes | 226.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, January 16, 2026 between Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Magdeburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-bra-fcm-2026-01-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Wretched-Bribery | Yes | 97 |
| Descriptive-Jockey | Yes | 76.92 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 45.66 |
| Fiorino | Yes | 40 |
| Gregor214 | Yes | 38.46 |
