
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 53% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 10 Mar 2026 and the low 45.5% on 21 Mar 2026.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 53.0% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.28K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| middlemank | Yes | 575.31 |
| ksjkhsfhuahd108313 | Yes | 433.29 |
| JKBL | Yes | 306.12 |
| yimengweima | Yes | 200 |
| Bluemagicg | Yes | 144 |
| Silver Pioneer 3C70 | No | 128.26 |
| seanfee | Yes | 100 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between VfL Bochum and Holstein Kiel.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-boc-ksv-2026-03-22
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