Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 26.5%. Yes opened at 47% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 20 Feb 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 16 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 26% on 14 Feb 2026. $36.9K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 47.0% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 814.56 |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 612.65 |
| Cobalt Pulse 2142 | No | 162.82 |
| Cannae | No | 160.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, February 20, 2026 between VfL Bochum and 1. FC Nürnberg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-boc-fcn-2026-02-20
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