Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 100% on 8 Mar 2026.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 1:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 2.15K |
| Punisher2022 | No | 1.06K |
| Cannae | No | 668.08 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | No | 212.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between VfL Bochum and 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-boc-fck-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| adywar | No | 210 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 150 |
| antec | No | 90 |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 51.82 |
| mjun | No | 46.94 |
| blindsamsam | No | 35.43 |
