Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 27.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2026 to 23 Jan 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 12 Jan 2026 and the lowest 27% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 27% on 18 Jan 2026. $11.88K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 23 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
| 23 Jan 2026 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 1.24K |
| MartyMcFox | No | 184.7 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 157.02 |
| foooool | No | 97.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, January 23, 2026 between DSC Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-bie-ksv-2026-01-23
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Suburban-Cleric | No | 33.51 |
| paas2 | No | 30.01 |
| Rrr4567 | No | 20 |
| nzone | No | 18.22 |
| Dannyzz | No | 10.99 |
| Peperelman | No | 3.45 |
