Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 36% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 36% on 28 Apr 2026 and the low 23.5% on 3 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 30.5% on 30 Apr 2026. $15.26K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 5:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 36.0% |
| 10 May 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yanny250 | Yes | 3.03K |
| foooool | Yes | 320.28 |
| Bookm4k3r | Yes | 117.31 |
| enderblades | Yes | 100 |
| jackinv1lvl2 | Yes | 63.52 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| MrKite | Yes | 41.09 |
| Egghed | Yes | 39.98 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35.89 |
| vowing | Yes | 31 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-ber-fur-2026-05-10
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