Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50% on 2 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Mar 2026.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 9:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 260.88 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 208.28 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 149.27 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Hertha BSC and VfL Bochum.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bl2-ber-boc-2026-03-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| adspokposs | Yes | 80.17 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 49 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| pmHFT | Yes | 24.88 |
| mixon7 | Yes | 24.33 |
| blvcksimba | Yes | 20.83 |
