Analytics
Resolved New Zealand Breakers on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had New Zealand Breakers at 59.5%. The New Zealand Breakers side opened at 50% on 24 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 30 Sep 2026, the highest close was 59.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 49% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 59.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $42.79K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 11:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the New Zealand Breakers price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 30 Sep 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | New Zealand Breakers price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PendulumExchange | Cairns Taipans | 15K |
| wdy532089110 | Cairns Taipans | 282.19 |
| NatoAlfista | Cairns Taipans | 96 |
| Lonely-Incision | Cairns Taipans |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for September 30 at 3:30AM ET: If the New Zealand Breakers win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand Breakers". If the Cairns Taipans win, the market will resolve to "Cairns Taipans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bknbl-new-cai-2026-09-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 42.86 |
| IVANetne | Cairns Taipans | 36.29 |
| poshposh | Cairns Taipans | 35.06 |
| no1dodgersfan | Cairns Taipans | 28.13 |
| carelia | Cairns Taipans | 24.61 |
| 0x1235651 | Cairns Taipans | 20 |
| REBT41 | Cairns Taipans | 20 |
