Analytics
Resolved Cairns Taipans on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cairns Taipans at 47%. The Illawarra Hawks side opened at 50% on 5 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 5 Oct 2026. $26.18K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 9:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Illawarra Hawks price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 5 Oct 2026 – 11 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Illawarra Hawks price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 53.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| torta.tech | Illawarra Hawks | 477 |
| gbbgxfb | Illawarra Hawks | 324.08 |
| Nemo88888 | Illawarra Hawks | 112.74 |
| Po1yamory | Illawarra Hawks | 93.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 11 at 2:00AM ET: If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Illawarra Hawks". If the Cairns Taipans win, the market will resolve to "Cairns Taipans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bknbl-ill-cai-2026-10-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Keen Orbit 4E9D | Illawarra Hawks | 82.68 |
| Notradecopy | Illawarra Hawks | 79.79 |
| carelia | Illawarra Hawks | 45.87 |
| stkomeghivott | Illawarra Hawks | 40 |
| Malomoriquamfeudari | Illawarra Hawks | 17.54 |
| 0x1235651 | Illawarra Hawks | 15.3 |
