Analytics
Resolved SeaHorses Mikawa on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had SeaHorses Mikawa at 52.5%. The Toyama Grouses side opened at 50% on 12 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $774.57 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 9:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Toyama Grouses price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Toyama Grouses price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Notradecopy | Toyama Grouses | 105 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Toyama Grouses | 50.82 |
| Fitting-Pickle | Toyama Grouses | 41.69 |
| tradecraft | Toyama Grouses | 31.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for October 18 at 1:05AM ET: If the Toyama Grouses win, the market will resolve to "Toyama Grouses". If the SeaHorses Mikawa win, the market will resolve to "SeaHorses Mikawa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkjpn-toy-sea-2026-10-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| jmp123 | Toyama Grouses | 9.97 |
| Redrikh | Toyama Grouses | 3.33 |
