
Resolved Australia on 6 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Australia at 78%. The Turkiye side opened at 50% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 4 Sep 2026 and the low 22% on 6 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 27.5% on 5 Sep 2026. $39.5K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 7, 7:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Turkiye price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 2 Sep 2026 – 6 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Turkiye price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Sep 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | Turkiye | 1.15K |
| EVryBet4 | Turkiye | 765.55 |
| imake1mil | Turkiye | 574.3 |
| jackinv1lvl2 | Turkiye | 429 |
| sentrio | Turkiye | 198.62 |
| Deafening-Possible | Turkiye | 150 |
| kclyan | Turkiye | 148.46 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Turkiye | 100 |
| Graceful-Trainer | Turkiye | 95.1 |
| PT-S7 | Turkiye | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 5:30AM ET: If the Turkiye win, the market will resolve to "Turkiye". If the Australia win, the market will resolve to "Australia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaw-tur-aus-2026-09-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page