Analytics
Resolved Japan on 4 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Japan at 88%. The Japan side opened at 50% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 4 Sep 2026, the highest close was 90% on 3 Sep 2026 and the lowest 50% on 2 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 90% on 3 Sep 2026. $28.1K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 3:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Japan price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 4 Sep 2026
| Observed | Japan price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 88.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmyman132 | Mali | 1.56K |
| WeBuyHighWeSelllow | Mali | 976.11 |
| jakejakejakejake2012 | Mali | 375 |
| Shawnyou | Mali | 325.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 4 at 5:30AM ET: If the Japan win, the market will resolve to "Japan". If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaw-jap-mal-2026-09-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kclyan | Mali | 300 |
| bigraisin | Mali | 285.33 |
| kitopesivan | Mali | 152.83 |
| Garmonbozia | Mali | 150 |
| ShaiMVP | Mali | 124.99 |
| UpTheBlues | Mali | 98.5 |
