Analytics
Resolved China on 8 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had China at 100%. The Italy side opened at 50% on 2 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 63.5% on 7 Sep 2026 and the low 0.1% on 8 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 63 points down, to 0.1% on 8 Sep 2026. $79.97K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 9, 12:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Italy price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 8 Sep 2026
| Observed | Italy price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Clear-Cut-Crude | Italy | 3.2K |
| deadlycount | Italy | 1.45K |
| duguai123 | Italy | 1.08K |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind | Italy | 799.13 |
| 03- | Italy | 564 |
| Colossal-Dashboard | Italy | 552.42 |
| XX...XX | Italy | 484.48 |
| mrlish | Italy | 444.93 |
| JinKingWang | Italy | 400 |
| liuxh19 | Italy | 400 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 7 at 2:45PM ET: If the Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy". If the China win, the market will resolve to "China". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaw-ita-chi-2026-09-07
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