Analytics
Resolved Ukraine on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ukraine at 57.5%. The Ukraine side opened at 49.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 49% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 57.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $7.52K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 10:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Ukraine price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Ukraine price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Usernombre | Georgia | 1K |
| Pitiful-Roster-Modernist | Georgia | 867.35 |
| reghergh | Georgia | 97.18 |
| Swaglord33 | Georgia | 93.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 2 at 11:30AM ET: If the Ukraine win, the market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the Georgia win, the market will resolve to "Georgia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqeu-ukr-geo-2026-07-02
| Robust-Eagle | Georgia | 90.91 |
| jackmeghivott | Georgia | 84 |
| jackinv1lvl2 | Georgia | 83.99 |
| baseinv3 | Georgia | 55 |
| tenpercenttest | Georgia | 48 |
| Insubstantial-Downturn | Georgia | 39 |
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