Analytics
Resolved Lithuania on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lithuania at 94%. The Lithuania side opened at 50% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 94% on 2 Jul 2026 and the low 49% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 92.5% on 1 Jul 2026. $16.81K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 8:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lithuania price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 27 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Lithuania price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 94.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Usernombre | Great Britain | 1K |
| Impish-Race | Great Britain | 493.33 |
| jochaidi | Great Britain | 353.41 |
| jackmeghivott | Great Britain | 296 |
| PontiusPilate | Great Britain | 253.66 |
| tenpercenttest | Great Britain | 241 |
| baseinv3 | Great Britain | 150 |
| Negyedikaccount | Great Britain | 100 |
| Sticky-Rush | Great Britain | 65.94 |
| Dakubhai | Great Britain | 62.58 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 2 at 11:30AM ET: If the Lithuania win, the market will resolve to "Lithuania". If the Great Britain win, the market will resolve to "Great Britain". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqeu-lit-gre2-2026-07-02
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