Analytics
Resolved Serbia on 31 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Serbia at 67.5%. The Italy side opened at 50% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 26 Aug 2026 and the low 32.5% on 31 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 32.5% on 31 Aug 2026. $11.61K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Italy price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 19 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Italy price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vigilant-Environment | Italy | 954.79 |
| Candyrai | Italy | 488.33 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Italy | 330.99 |
| kitopesivan | Italy | 322.2 |
| grandculp | Italy | 173 |
| UpTheBlues | Italy | 165.75 |
| Mean-Interval | Italy | 100 |
| slimjoe | Italy | 100 |
| Impish-Race | Italy | 66.1 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Italy | 56.57 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 31 at 6:00AM ET: If the Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy". If the Serbia win, the market will resolve to "Serbia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqeu-ita-ser-2026-08-31
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