Analytics
Resolved Portugal on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Portugal at 11.5%. The Greece side opened at 49.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 88.5% on 5 Jul 2026 and the low 48% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 83.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $18.41K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 8:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Greece price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 5 Jul 2026
| Observed | Greece price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 88.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| megacapper | Greece | 2.5K |
| Me65jcwicnwony | Greece | 326 |
| 15perces | Greece | 294.56 |
| Alaoq | Greece | 235 |
| tenpercenttest | Greece | 192 |
| abubadish2 | Greece | 175.2 |
| sentrio | Greece | 118.53 |
| Authentic-Architecture | Greece | 107.53 |
| UKbeast | Greece | 100 |
| blank7633 | Greece | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 5 at 12:30PM ET: If the Greece win, the market will resolve to "Greece". If the Portugal win, the market will resolve to "Portugal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqeu-gre-por-2026-07-05
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