
Resolved France on 6 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had France at 22.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 6 Jul 2026, the highest close was 83.5% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 83.5% on 5 Jul 2026. $43.82K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 9:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 6 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 77.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GamblingAddict12345 | Finland | 2.37K |
| Notradecopy | Finland | 1.96K |
| Usernombre | Finland | 1.04K |
| dsfdsddd2 | Finland | 600 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for July 6 at 2:30PM ET: If the France win, the market will resolve to "France". If the Finland win, the market will resolve to "Finland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqeu-fra-fin-2026-07-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| skirkew | Finland | 384.62 |
| SnakeBall | Finland | 266.84 |
| moscow23 | Finland | 216.98 |
| Melodic-Behalf | Finland | 200 |
| Pen2 | Finland | 89.57 |
| Coral Signal 1BD4 | Finland | 60 |