Analytics
Resolved Iran on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Iran at 84.5%. The Syria side opened at 49.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 5 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 15.5% on 5 Jul 2026. $11.47K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 4:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Syria price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 5 Jul 2026
| Observed | Syria price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hopeful-Electronics-Table | Syria | 1.61K |
| megacapper | Syria | 624.63 |
| omnibus-076daa | Syria | 142.1 |
| Impish-Race | Syria | 141.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 5 at 9:30AM ET: If the Syria win, the market will resolve to "Syria". If the Iran win, the market will resolve to "Iran". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.fiba.basketball/basketballworldcup/2027/qualifiers
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqas-syr-ira-2026-07-05
| donglai66 | Syria | 136.19 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Syria | 101.14 |
| reghergh | Syria | 39.66 |
| Hodookim | Syria | 39.49 |
| nexusengine | Syria | 37.39 |
| zxcursed121 | Syria | 20.96 |
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