Analytics
Resolved Qatar on 5 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Qatar at 28%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 5 Jul 2026, the highest close was 72% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 72% on 5 Jul 2026. $20.6K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 5:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 5 Jul 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 72.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| megacapper | Saudi Arabia | 897.34 |
| EVryBet | Saudi Arabia | 687.41 |
| fan9988 | Saudi Arabia | 574.22 |
| saepul | Saudi Arabia | 538.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 5 at 11:00AM ET: If the Saudi Arabia win, the market will resolve to "Saudi Arabia". If the Qatar win, the market will resolve to "Qatar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqas-sau-qat-2026-07-05
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| tenpercenttest | Saudi Arabia | 220.63 |
| jackmeghivott | Saudi Arabia | 211 |
| 15perces | Saudi Arabia | 193.98 |
| Better-Metabolite | Saudi Arabia | 95 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Saudi Arabia | 81.06 |
| jackinv1lvl2 | Saudi Arabia | 70.1 |
