Analytics
Resolved Lebanon on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lebanon at 50.5%. The Lebanon side opened at 50.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 29 Aug 2026, the highest close was 66.5% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 66.5% on 27 Aug 2026. $7.63K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 2:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lebanon price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Lebanon price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vigilant-Environment | South Korea | 94.22 |
| twozero20 | South Korea | 41.08 |
| WreckedBag | South Korea | 31.25 |
| Flashy-Site | South Korea | 16.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET: If the Lebanon win, the market will resolve to "Lebanon". If the South Korea win, the market will resolve to "South Korea". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bkfibaqas-leb-sou-2026-08-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bigbull | South Korea | 14.99 |
| AntiVaxxer | South Korea | 10.09 |
| Charming-Dresser | South Korea | 5.81 |
| Garmonbozia | South Korea | 5 |
| triklozoid | South Korea | 5 |
| Rocks3 | South Korea | 3.14 |
